{"id":382,"date":"2006-02-22T21:17:31","date_gmt":"2006-02-22T21:17:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/viodi.com\/classic\/2006\/02\/22\/article1-63\/"},"modified":"2023-08-13T18:27:21","modified_gmt":"2023-08-13T18:27:21","slug":"article1-63","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/viodi.com\/classic\/2006\/02\/22\/article1-63\/","title":{"rendered":"Viodi View -Telecom is Back"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p align=\"left\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/images\/logo-145px.gif\" alt=\"Viodi - the Bridge Between the Heartland and Hollywood\" width=\"145\" height=\"42\"\/>        <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Viodi View Menu<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>                            <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/\">Current              Issue<\/a>                                                        <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/newsletter\/060201\/article1.htm\">Telecom                      is Back<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/newsletter\/060201\/article2.htm\">                      &#8230;&#8230;&#8217;Where is IPTV?&#8217;<\/a><\/p>\n<p>                                           <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/newsletter\/060200\/\">Previous Issue<\/a>              <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p>                              <a href=\"javascript:openWindow(&quot;http:\/\/postsnet.com\/app\/campaigner\/services\/optinlist\/processoptinrequest.jsp?oilb=85755787&quot;)\">Viodi              View Subscribe<\/a> <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p>                              <strong>Viodi Forums<\/strong>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/club1\/\">Club                Viodi<\/a>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/support\/\">Local                Content<\/a>                <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p>                                           <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/justoaqui\/\">Multimedia              Search <\/a> <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p>                              <strong>Viodi Workshops<\/strong>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/local\/\">Local                Content<\/a>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/telcovideo101\">Telco                Video 101<\/a>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/incremona\">IPTV Training<\/a>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/qb\/\">Sales                Training<\/a>                <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p>                                           <strong>Industry<\/strong>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/cgi-bin\/blah\/Blah.pl?,v=cal\">Industry                Calendar<\/a>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/links.htm\">Favorite                Links<\/a>               <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p>                                           <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/about.htm\">About              Viodi<\/a>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/contact.htm\">Contact<\/a>                               <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/biographies.htm\">Biographies<\/a>                <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p class=\"MsoBodyText\">Interested in Sponsoring          the Viodi View? Send an email to: <strong>sponsor@viodi.com<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Please <strong>forward<\/strong> this free publication          to anyone you know who is involved in some way with independent telephone          companies. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Mission of the Viodi View:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In this on-line publication, we share our analysis, opinions          and direction on the interactive television news and views that we believe          will be of interest and use to our friends associated directly or indirectly          with independent telephone companies. For more information as to the various          ways Viodi works with independent telephone companies, please go to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/alliance\/\">http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/alliance\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Disclaimer:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Viodi View [Viodi, LLC] and its associates used their          best efforts in collecting and preparing the information published herein.          However, the Viodi View [Viodi, LLC] does not assume, and hereby disclaims,          any and all liability for any loss or damage caused by errors or omissions,          whether such errors or omissions resulted from negligence, accident, or          other causes.<\/p>\n<p>All displayed trademarks, logos and service marks are          the property of their respective owners. \u00a9 2006<a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/about.htm\">Viodi,          LLC<\/a>. All Rights Reserved.<br \/>         5255 Stevens Creek, #127 Santa Clara, CA 95051<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a name=\"top\"\/>Viodi          View Newsletter &#8211; February 22nd, 2006<\/strong>        <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/local\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/local\/images\/conferencelogo.gif\" alt=\"Click here to learn more about Latens - the Future of Content Protection and Revenue Protection\" name=\"Image1\" border=\"0\" id=\"Image1\"\/><\/a><br \/>         <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/local\/\">Click here to learn          more about Viodi&#8217;s Local Content Workshop<\/a>        <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Telecom is Back<\/strong><br \/>         <em>Highlights of TIA&#8217;s, Feb. 15th, Market Review Press Conference<\/em>        <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">Alan J Weissberger<br \/>         aweissberger@sbcglobal.net<\/p>\n<p>[Editor&#8217;s Note: If you are interested in follow-up research          to topics associated with this article, please inform the author of your          interests. The author is also actively seeking research related and technology          assessment work in Broadband Wireless.]<\/p>\n<p>TIA invited selected media members to what turned out          to be a very informative conference call on the status of the telecom          market. The purpose was to promote the release of TIA\u2019s <em><strong>2006          Telecommunications Market Review and Forecast<\/strong><\/em> book. A few          highlights are presented here. A follow on report will depend on readers          communicating their interests to this author.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>TIA states that the US telecom market increased 8.9%            in 2005. Outside the U.S. (ROW) there was 11.4% growth. One of the most            dramatic comebacks has been in the network equipment market. <strong>Network            equipment revenue rose 31%<\/strong> over the past two years after falling            71% between 2000 and 2003. TIA continues to see the positive impact            of increased deployment of broadband and IP technologies, thanks at            least in part to FCC decisions and President Bush&#8217;s call for universal            availability of broadband by 2007.<\/li>\n<li>While TIA forecasts a compound annual growth rate            of 9.0% for the U.S. telecom market for the period 2006-2009, they imply            that this is predicated on a <strong>&#8220;clear need&#8221; to increase            federal funding levels for telecom research. <\/strong>TIA expects government            agencies such as NIST and NSF to realize huge funding increases as a            result of the President\u2019s proposed budget (which must be passed            by Congress).<\/li>\n<li> New products and services are emerging as a result            of the ability to connect an ever-increasing array of devices to the            Internet, as well as the ability to access multiple services through            those devices. The result is a <strong>voracious demand for bandwidth<\/strong>.            Affordable broadband connectivity along with the service convergence            via IP make this possible. TIA expects to see a<strong> fierce battle            <\/strong>between the telcos and the MSOs in their quest to deliver and            sell triple and quadruple play service offerings to residential customers.            MSOs are teaming with wireless providers (e.g. SPRINT-Nextel) to offer            a quadruple play.<\/li>\n<li>The <strong>key to a successful telco triple play            <\/strong>will be the (long promised, but this is the year&#8230;) <strong>entertainment            video service<\/strong>. The delivery of which is now being offered by            multiple competitors (primary independent telcos) and over various platforms.            The ability of these competitors to enter the marketplace will be further            enabled by video franchise reform (VZ has caused this to happen in Texas).            National legislation may be necessary to address the need for a streamlined,            less burdensome video franchising process through which competition            will flourish. <\/li>\n<li><strong>Wireless technologies continue to flourish<\/strong>            and drive industry investment. 3G network investments are in full swing            with rollouts emerging. WiMAX is set to become a larger factor as WiMAX            Forum product certifications continue. This June the FCC is scheduled            to a<strong>uction off 90 megahertz of prime, globally harmonized spectrum<\/strong>            for advanced wireless services. This includes the spectrum converted            from federal use that TIA worked very hard to help secure. They are            very excited about the new network build outs and upgrades that will            result. TIA expects wireless subscriber growth to slow in percentage            terms to 8.5% annually this year. Penetration will increase from 66%            in 2005 to 88% in 2009. Revenue will grow at 11.2% annually fueled by            3G, new applications, and more services. New wireless applications are            driving device spending<\/li>\n<li> International Wireless Markets: TIA sees wireless            as a catalyst for growth (GDP). They believe there is enormous potential            for expansion, particularly in China and India. Those two countries            alone will add <strong>more than 400 million wireless subscribers<\/strong>            during the next four years. Except for Europe, where the subscriber            base is saturated, each region will average double-digit annual growth<\/li>\n<li><strong>Landline (AKA Wire-line) Market Developments:            <\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>RBOCs are now the major long-distance providers                (no pure long distance plays left)<\/li>\n<li>Standalone long-distance carriers are leaving                the market (e.g. SPRINT-Nextel)<\/li>\n<li> Non facility based CLECs are investing in their                own equipment or leaving the market <\/li>\n<li>Cable operators (MSOs) are major telco competitors                <\/li>\n<li>Broadband is now offered in a bundle with telephone                service<\/li>\n<li> VoIP is becoming popular, but there are many                unresolved issues+ for residential users <\/li>\n<li>Television is becoming a necessary component in                a residential service bundle<\/li>\n<li> Flat rate pricing is replacing per-minute pricing                model for long-distance<\/li>\n<li> For enterprise customers, IP VPNs are replacing                legacy services, e.g. private line, Frame Relay, and ATM<\/li>\n<li> E911, battery backup, security, availability,                reliability\/ single point of failure, and naked DSL availability                <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>Key U.S. Regulatory Policy Developments and            Implications<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>RBOCs do not have to share high-speed infrastructure                with CLEC competitors and ISPs<\/li>\n<li> UNE discounts to competitors being phasing out<\/li>\n<li> Approval of major landline and wireless mergers                have precipitated more aggressive <br \/>               investments in infrastructure.<\/li>\n<li> Facilities-based providers are best positioned                to compete &#8211; non facilities CLECs are losing<\/li>\n<li> RBOCs stepping up investment in DSL and fiber                (primarily for video services)<\/li>\n<li> Rulings on broadband networks set the stage for                RBOC entrance into commercial TV distribution, while legislative                efforts try to speed it up<\/li>\n<li> Traditional long-distance companies don\u2019t                exist anymore\u2013 the standalone long-distance carrier business                model no longer works<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>International Internet Access <\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Broadband will be the fastest-growing sector,                expanding at a 28.3% annual rate<\/li>\n<li> Countries view broadband as essential to compete                in the world economy<\/li>\n<li> Dial-up growth is also expected in Latin America,                Asia\/Pacific, and Middle East\/Africa, while dial-up in Europe and                Canada is declining<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong> Key International Market Drivers <\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>Governments are actively promoting broadband and                encouraging carriers to upgrade <\/li>\n<li>Wireless broadband is taking off in Europe<\/li>\n<li> Wireless subscriber ship is growing explosively                in Asia\/Pacific<\/li>\n<li> Privatization and increased investment is boosting                Middle East\/Africa<\/li>\n<li> Rising incomes and a stable economic environment                are benefiting Latin America<\/li>\n<li> Newly launched VoIP, text messaging interoperability,                and mobile music are happening<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong> Global Telecom Market Summary <\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li>The telecommunications industry is expanding again<\/li>\n<li> The U.S.has returned to an upward path and international                markets are growing faster<\/li>\n<li> Global growth projected at 10 percent compounded                annually through 2009<\/li>\n<li>Spending will rise from $2.7 trillion in 2005                to $3.9 trillion in 2009<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"left\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/newsletter\/060201\/article1.htm\">Next Article<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoBodyText\"><a href=\"#top\">Back to Top<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoBodyText\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/newsletter\/060200\/index.htm\">Previous          Issue<\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Viodi          View Subscribe<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>              <a href=\"javascript:openWindow(&quot;http:\/\/postsnet.com\/app\/campaigner\/services\/optinlist\/processoptinrequest.jsp?oilb=85755787&quot;)\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/postsnet.com\/campaigner_images\/Images\/optinlistbuilder\/FM-1.gif\" border=\"0\"\/><\/a>          <br \/>                  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.viodi.com\/newsletter\/privacy.htm\">Privacy          Policy<\/a>        <\/p>\n<hr\/>\n<p style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0px\" align=\"center\"><strong>Content Options?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0px\" align=\"center\"><strong>Learn About Some New Ones<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0px\" align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.contentpavilion.com\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.contentpavilion.com\/images\/bug02_vid.gif\" alt=\"Click here to learn more about Viodi's Content Pavilion\" name=\"contentpavilion\" width=\"150\" height=\"117\" border=\"0\" usemap=\"#contentpavilionMap\"\/><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>         <a href=\"http:\/\/www.contentpavilion.com\/\">                                                 <\/a>         <\/p>\n<p style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0px\" align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.contentpavilion.com\/\"><strong>Viodi&#8217;s            Content Pavilion <\/strong><br \/>           <strong>at TelecomNEXT<\/strong><\/a>          <\/p>\n<p style=\"MARGIN-TOP: 0px\" align=\"center\"><strong>Participants            &amp; 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